20% LIMITED TIME OFF ALL CHALLENGES
CODE: PATH2026
20% LIMITED TIME OFF ALL CHALLENGES
CODE: PATH2026
20% LIMITED TIME OFF ALL CHALLENGES
CODE: PATH2026
HOME / HOW IT WORKS

WHAT ARE PREDICTION MARKETS?

Trade Yes/No contracts on real-world events with our simulated capital. One-step
assessment, 75% account gains as standard, payouts every 7 days once funded –
one of the only firms in the world offering it.

A prediction market turns a real-world question into a tradeable contract. “Will the Fed cut rates at the next meeting?” becomes a Yes share and a No share that always add up to $1.

If Yes trades at 62¢, the market – the combined judgment of everyone trading it – is saying there’s roughly a 62% chance it happens. When the event resolves, the correct side settles at $1 and the other at $0.

That’s the whole instrument. No leverage, no margin calls, no Greeks.

MACRO · EXAMPLE MARKET
Will the Fed cut rates at the next meeting?
0%
IMPLIED PROBABILITY - YES AT 62¢
THE ENTRY
You buy 500 Yes shares
500 × $0.62 = $310
plus 1% commission on the notional
IF THE FED CUTS
Yes settles at $1
500 × $1.00 = $500
a gain of +$190 before commission
IF THE FED HOLDS
Yes settles at $0
Your loss = $310
your maximum loss is always what you paid

Your edge can come from anywhere

Politics, sport, macro, tech – if you genuinely understand a domain, that knowledge prices events.

Defined risk on every position

A share bought at 40¢ can cost you at most 40¢. Priced in from the start.

No overnight gaps, no liquidations

Positions resolve on facts, not wicks.

THE Honest COUNTERWEIGHT

Events are binary, unrealised swings count against your drawdown on a funded account, and thin markets can move. It’s a different discipline, not a shortcut. Our funded rules - the 20–80¢ band, the per-event profit cap, the 60-day resolution window - are built to reward the traders who treat it as one.

WHERE TRADEPATH COMES IN.

Trading events well takes capital. Pass a one-step assessment under published rules and trade a funded
prediction account – 75% account gains (90% with the add-on), payouts every 7 days. Pricing and
resolution follow Polymarket, so the markets you’ll trade are the ones you already follow.